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MyFantasyFix: Week 12 - Flying High With the Cardinals

Josh Sperry

SATURDAY UPDATE:

Falcons RB - Devonta Freeman has been ruled out this week after suffering a concussion last week against the Colts, so Tevin Coleman will get the start against Minnesota this week. He's a tournament option at best as I don't trust the Falcons' offense right now when Freeman isn't in the game. He's been a better fit in the running game and he's second on the team in receiving yards this season.

Jarvis Landry - Landry is questionable this week going into a matchup with the Jets where Darrell Revis has already been ruled out. If Landry is able to suit up it's a fantastic matchup as the Jets secondary has been torched the past few weeks, even Revis after DeAndre Hopkins lit him up last week. Missing practice Friday doesn't make me thrilled about him this week, but keep an eye out Sunday morning to see if he's in fact active.

Danny Amendola - The Patriots are going to have Amendola work out his knee Saturday morning (still having not done as of writing this post) to see if he will travel to the team to Denver. Amendola obviously would be a huge help to the Pats who are going up against the best defense in football and already missing Julian Edelman. If Amendola doesn't suit up, Brandon Lafell should be the most targeted wide receiver but we'll also see James White used like we did last week where he caught a touchdown pass.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins - ASJ was one of my picks for a big weekend based on early week reports but now he is listed as doubtful for the game after being questionable every week leading up to this point. Obviously this doesn't bode well for the team, but Doug Martin, Mike Evans, and Vincent Jackson will all get plenty of targets again this week.

Stock Up

Jacob Tamme - Freeman and Leonard Hankerson have both been ruled out this week and do you really think this week is the week they start throwing to Roddy White again? Me either. It's going to be the Julio Jones, Jacob Tamme, and Matt Ryan show and I expect Tamme to be low owned based on Ryan's struggles as of late and the Vikings defense play well.

Thomas Rawls - Marshawn Lynch continues to miss games and Rawls has shown he can be an RB 1 on any given week. 200+ yards last week was huge for DFS players but this week will be tougher sledding against a Steelers defense that's allowing just 93 YPG on the ground, good for 6th best in the league. I expect him to be fairly widely owned in cash games this week at his decreased price.

ORIGINAL POST

Fantistics Top Player Projections - QB

1. Aaron Rodgers - Green Bay

2. Eli Manning - New York Giants

3. Carson Palmer - Arizona

4. Matthew Stafford - Detroit

5. Blake Bortles - Jacksonville

Top Plays:
Carson Palmer vs San Francisco: Carson Palmer against the 49ers in my top play of this week, and he's going to be very largely owned in cash games as this is by far the best matchup of the weekend. Last time the Cardinals played the Niners Palmer threw for 311 and two touchdowns but I'm expecting much more from him this weekend provided they don't get up by too much too early. Palmer has thrown for 315+ in each of the last three games and while he does have two game where he threw under 200 yards... He threw seven touchdowns across those two games. Palmer will get you your points this weekend.

Fanduel Salary: $ 8,100 DraftKings Salary: $ 7,100

Phillip Rivers vs. Jacksonville: The Jaguars are the 8th worst team against the pass this season and Phillip Rivers will likely come into this game looking to scorch the earth after last week's blowout loss to the Chiefs. Aside from the Chiefs game, Rivers has been putting up solid numbers pretty much since week four averaging 357 yards a game through the air (328 if you remove 503 yards against GB) and has 14 touchdowns in that span. The Chargers have no running game, so any chance they have to win has to go on Rivers' shoulder.

Fanduel Salary: $ 8,000 DraftKings Salary: $ 6,700

Mid-Range Value:

Eli Manning vs. Washington: Manning has been hot as of late throwing for 350+ in two of his last three games and gets a nice matchup against Washington this weekend. In week 3 Manning completed 23-32 for 279 and a pair of scores on a short week (Thursday game). Manning has been extremely consistent this year as well tossing two or more touchdowns in all but three games and he's thrown three or more touchdowns three times. Manning is a safe cash game value with the upside for top five production at the position.

Fanduel Salary: $ 7,700 DraftKings Salary: $ 6,500

Jameis Winston vs. Indianapolis: Winston is an interesting play and I expect his ownership this week to be fairly high coming off of his five touchdown performance against the Eagles. Matt Ryan just threw for 280 and three scores against Indy, but the Colts were able to pick him off three times including a pick six. After throwing seven picks in his first four games Winston has thrown just two since and both of those came against Dallas two weeks ago. Winston is a risky mid-range value, but his value will be helped if Vontae Davis is forced to miss any time (left game against ATL with hamstring injury).

Fanduel Salary: $ 7,300 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,500

Tournament Play:

Josh McCown vs. Baltimore: Initially this was Johnny Football but since he has now been demoted to 3rd string after some more off the field issues, McCown slides into this spot. The Ravens' defense has been torched this season allowing 257 YPG through the air with 19 touchdowns, 6th worst in the league. One of the largest culprits of those totals was in fact McCown, who lit up the Ravens secondary for 457 yards and two touchdowns earlier this season. I still expect his ownership to be somewhat on the lower end because, well, it's Josh McCown.... So he'll make for a nice high upside play this weekend.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,300 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,000

Thursday Play: Cam Newton - Newton by far has the most enticing matchup on Thursday and he's likely going to be the highest owned QB in the Thursday slate. Newton is having a fantastic season and he has such a high floor for production with his running abilities that he's able to reach his salary value almost every week. Scoring at least two touchdowns in every game since week one, Newton's touchdowns peaked last week with five TD passes to five different receivers. Keep riding the hot hand on Thursday.

Fanduel Salary: $ 8,900 DraftKings Salary: $ 7,100


Fantistics Top Player Projections - RB

1. Demarco Murray - Philadelphia (THURS)

2. Todd Gurley - St. Louis

3. TJ Yeldon - Jacksonville

4. Doug Martin - Tampa Bay

5. Thomas Rawls - Seattle

Top Plays:

Adrian Peterson vs. Atlanta: The Falcons are tops in the league in YPG by opposing RBs, but they haven't faced a running back of Peterson's caliber yet. He's on a similar pace to what he did when he ran for 2,000 yards a few seasons ago, and it's helped the Vikings become a serious threat in the division. Where the Falcons are stingy in yardage to backs, they are allowing them to get into the endzone with ease allowing 11 touchdowns on the ground this season which trails only Detroit and San Diego this season. AP has struggled though when facing other defenses that rank in the top 10 of YPG on the ground average 70.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. Atlanta has surrendered 108 YPG over their last three contests.

Fanduel Salary: $ 9,000 DraftKings Salary: $ 7,300

Chris Johnson vs. San Francisco: Another position, another Cardinal. You could say I'm going all in on them this week. Anyways, last time Cj2K faced San Francisco he ran for 110 and a pair of scores in ne of his four 100 yard performances this season. In those four 100 games they came against four of the worst defenses in football in SF, Baltimore, Cleveland, and Detroit. I fully expect the Cardinals to get up early in the first half and then lean on Johnson for the rest of the game, giving him the chance to post a huge fantasy day.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,800 DraftKings Salary: $ 4,600

Mid-Range Value:

Doug Martin vs. Indianapolis: After posting back to back 100 yard games earlier this season, Martin exploded for 235 yards on 27 carries against the Eagles. Next on the schedule are the Colts who rank 21st in YPG on the ground. Martin's value unfortunately has been coming solely from his yardage as all four of his touchdowns came in a two game stretch in early October. Martin is enjoying a fantastic bounce back season and I fully believe it continues this Sunday.

Fanduel Salary: $7,500 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,800

Javorious Allen vs. Cleveland: "Buck" Allen this week is intriguing based on his matchup for sure, but this is a mid-range/tournament play because everyone on the Ravens' offense is hurt and it'll be interesting to see how the team manages. The Browns allow 138 YPG on the ground this season and Allen is likely going to be the feature back for the team after Justin Forsett broke his arm last week. Against a solid Rams defense, Allen averaged 3.0 yards a carry (3.9 for the season), rushing for 67 yards and catching four passes for 48 yards.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,300 DraftKings Salary: $ 4,600

Tournament Plays

Duke Johnson Jr. vs. Baltimore: Johnson could be a upside play this weekend against Baltimore if the Browns' will give him the outright career at the position. Last week in an anemic rushing effort Johnson was the second leading rusher with 10 yards on four carries. Isaiah Crowell is the other back fighting for careers and he had six rushes for -5 yards, while Johnny Manziel led the team with 14 yards. Manziel is out this week and the Browns also *shouldn't* be forced to throw the ball 45 times like last week leaving more opportunities for Johnson to get carries. He's more valuable in Draft Kings thanks to the full PPR as opposed to FanDuel.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,000 DraftKings Salary: $ 3,900


Thursday Play:
Demarco Murray: Murray still isn't rolling how we'd like him too this year, but going up against the Lions on Thanksgiving makes him my favorite play of the day. Ryan Matthews is still going through concussion protocol (at the time I'm writing this) leaving Murray to be the one who gets all of the touches out of the Eagles backfield. Even though he got flexed out of the gameplan thanks to Famous Jameis and his five touchdown Murray still was productive last week averaging almost five yards a carry and seven yards a catch.

Fanduel Salary: $ 7,700 DraftKings Salary: $ 6,100

Fantistics Top Player Projections - WR

1. DeAndre Hopkins - Houston

2. Odell Beckham Jr. - New York Giants

3. Mike Evans - Tampa Bay

4. Demaryius Thomas - Denver

5. Allen Robinson - Jacksonville

Top Plays:

Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Washington: Beckham hauled in 100+ yards for the third straight game against the Patriots prior to the Giants' bye week and has four touchdowns over the last three games he's played in. He's been a target machine in the last two games as well getting 29 combined looks in the two games. In his last two contests against the Redskins Beckham is average 111 yards and two touchdowns per game, making him a fantastic play this weekend with some other top wideouts having very tough matchups.

Fanduel Salary: $ 9,100 DraftKings Salary: $ 8,700

DeAndre Hopkins vs. New Orleans: Hopkins may be 100% owned this week as whether it's a cash game, tournament play, or any other type of play he'll likely be in someone's lineup. That's just what this kind of matchup can do. Hopkins has been the fantasy MVP at receiver this year and the New Orleans defense can't stop anyone. Hopkins is virtually a lock for 15 targets and 10 catches with 100 yards and at least one score, you can't say that about too many players.

Fanduel Salary: $ 9,400 DraftKings Salary: $ 9,100

Mid-Range Value:

Larry Fitzgerald vs. San Francisco: Going to go ahead and say I like a lot of Cardinals wideouts this week.... Ftizgerald ranks as one of my top options for the week as he's now gotten double digit targets in three straight weeks and has at least eight catches for 80 yards in each game. In week three against the Niners Fitz caught nine of eleven targets for 134 and a pair of touchdowns. The last true #1 option on a team they faced was Julio Jones and he snagged 10 catches for 137 yards, and I could easily see Geraldrald approaching those numbers.

Fanduel Salary: $ 7,400 DraftKings Salary: $ 7,400

John Brown vs. San Francisco: I know, you're tired of seeing Arizona players on my list but this is just too great of a matchup to ignore. Brown has been a solid fantasy option over the last four weeks either scoring a TD, or racking up 196 receiving yards against the Steelers. The first time he matched up with the 49ers was before he was getting used heavily, catching only three passes but did amass 62 yards in the game. His price point makes him a nice option in a great matchup.

Fanduel Salary: $ 5,700 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,000

Martavis Bryant vs. Seattle: I'm not using many Steelers this weekend in DFS, but if I have to choose one I'm taking the touchdown machine Bryant. Bryant has continued his assault on the endzone scoring in four of five games including 178 yards and a score in their last game against the Browns. The Legion of Boom hasn't quite been the legion of boom this year, and I think that Ben Roethlisberger can throw for a pair of scores with Bryant snagging at least one of them.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,700 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,600

Tournament Play:

JJ Nelson vs. San Francisco: Last one, I promise. Nelson had an huge game last week with Michael Floyd missing the game due to injury, and there's a chance Floyd could miss this week's game as well. If so, it's either Nelson or Jaron Brown to pick up those targets and based on 142 yards and a score a week ago I'd go with Nelson to continue to get looks. He saw his targets jump from four to six over their last two games with Floyd getting hurt and then remaining hurt.

Fanduel Salary: $ 5,100 DraftKings Salary: $ 3,000

Thursday Play: Randall Cobb - Randall Cobb's yardage totals are way down this year but he's still finding the endzone at a steady pace including twice in his last three games. The WR group is tough Thursday as the top two overall WRs, Alshon Jeffery and Dez Bryant, both have very tough matchups leading me to dip a little lower and make Cobb the guy I want the most. Week one against the Bears saw Cobb catch five of five targets for just 38 yards but he did find the endzone.

Fanduel Salary: $ 7,400 DraftKings Salary: $ 6,500


Fantistics Top Player Projections - TE

1. Rob Gronkowski - New England

2. Greg Olsen - Carolina (THURS)

3. Antonio Gates - San Diego

4. Jimmy Graham - Seattle

5. Gary Barnidge - Cleveland

Top Plays:

Delanie Walker vs. Oakland: This is your weekly reminder than the Raiders are horrible against the tight end, and Delanie Walker should feast this weekend. He and QB Marcus Mariota have been great together this year connecting 53 times for 617 and three touchdowns. Last week against Jacksonville he had his best yardage game of the season (109) on eight catches. The only knock on him is he found the endzone in week one and it took until November to score again, finding the endzone twice against the Saints.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,100 DraftKings Salary: $ 5,400

Jimmy Graham vs. Pittsburgh: Graham gets to feast on the Steelers defense who have a lot of trouble covering elite tight ends. After back to back weeks of at least nine targets Graham saw his targets dip again in week 11 down to just four. However, his two red zone targets were the most red zone looks he's seen since he got four looks in week one. The Steelers' run defense is he strength of the team, so I'd look for the Seahawks to look to the air a good bit.

Fanduel Salary: $ 5,500 DraftKings Salary: $ 4,800

Tournament Play:

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins vs. Indianapolis: FINALLY! ASJ should return to action this week for the first time since week two and if he does play he is as talented as there is at the position. Week one saw him snag two touchdowns, showing an immediate connection with Jameis. The Colts have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four of their past five games including two to TE/FB Patrick Demarco of the Falcons last week.

Fanduel Salary: $ 5,100 DraftKings Salary: $ 2,500

Thursday Play - Greg Olsen: Olsen is by far the best TE option in the Thursday slate and I'm more than happy to spend the money on him. Cam Newton is playing the best football of his career right now and Olsen is still his favorite target even with the emergence of his other wide receivers, mainly Devin Funchess. He has seen his targets slip a bit in the last three weeks after having 10+ targets in four of his first seven games before posting 8, 8, and 6 recently.

Fanduel Salary: $ 6,400 DraftKings Salary: $ 6,200

Fantistics Top Player Projections - DEF


1. Kansas City

2. Arizona

3. Carolina

4. Cincinnati

5. New York Jets

Top Plays:

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore: Baltimore will be starting Matt Schaub at QB this week, that's enough to make even a decent defense one of the best plays this week. The Ravens could choose to feed Buck Allen all game, but at some point the Ravens will be forced to throw at some point. They're going to be very highly owned this week in DFS.

Fanduel Salary: $ 4,600 DraftKings Salary: $2,000

Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco: Okay I lied, the Arizona defense is another top option for me this week. Blaine Gabbert has no upside at all and it sounds like Carlos Hyde is still going to be kept out of action this week forcing Shaun Draughn into action who has 95 yards across two starts this year.

Fanduel Salary: $ 5,300 DraftKings Salary: $ 3,900

Tournament Plays:

Denver vs. New England Patriots: Are you feeling lucky? Denver is by far the top defense in the league, but they welcome the Patriots to town who are on a mission to destroy everyone in their path. Now the Pats will be without their top two(?) receivers in Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola leaving Brandon Lafell and a lot of nobodys. They're going to be low owned I'd imagine, so they could be a nice contrarian play this weekend.

Fanduel Salary: $ 4,700 DraftKings Salary: $ 2,900

Thursday Play: Carolina Panthers: The Panthers are one of the top defenses in football and will be faced with a tough task of stopping the Tony Romo led Cowboys. The Panthers rank 8th in the league against the run, which will help combat the Cowboys potent run game and they also have Josh Norman that can help neutralize Dez Bryant.

Fanduel Salary: $ 4,700 DraftKings Salary: $ $3,600

Fantistics Top Player Projections - K

1. Chandler Catanzaro - Arizona

2. Nick Novak - Houston

3. Josh Brown - New York Giants

4. Steven Hauschka - Seattle

5. Dustin Hopkins - Washington

Top Plays:
Justin Tucker vs. Cleveland:
Fanduel Salary: $ 4,900

Josh Lambo vs. Jacksonville: Fanduel Salary: $ 4,700

Minimum Kicker Option:

Ryan Succop vs. Oakland: Fanduel Salary: $ 4,500

Thursday Play: Mason Crosby Fanduel Salary: $ $4,700


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