Week Seven returns us to some normalcy with only two teams on bye week. The injuries continue to pile up in the league, but with DRAFT, you don't have to worry about the injuries as much, as you just draft new players the following week. As I've evaluated my past few weeks, I think I'm not giving enough credit to the top-end WRs as much as I should. I've already done a few drafts, and have seen the RBs fly off the board. I think this leads to focusing a little more on the Top 3-4 WR, that are falling in drafts.
H2H or 3-Person Contests
As I mentioned above, running backs are flying off the board in these early drafts. And if you have a Top 2 pick, I think the choice is easy: it's either Le'Veon Bell or Ezekiel Elliott. I prefer Elliott as the 49ers are ranked last against RBs, giving up 27.5 fantasy points a game to RBs over the past 8 games. Bell has been inconsistent against the Bengals, but did have 93 yards rushing and 5 catches for 38 yards in the only game against them last year. The Bengals do allow some production to RB out of the backfield. I don't think you can go wrong with either guy.
This is where I may differ from everyone else and want to go WR here. Antonio Brown has put up a couple big weeks recently, and has three straight games of double-digit targets at home vs Cincinnati. Opposite of Brown is A.J. Green, who put up his worst game ever against the Steelers last season, going 2/38. Prior to that, he had three of four games with double-digit targets, including a 224 receiving yard game in 2014. He's had more good games vs PIttsburgh than bad, so I'm not scared off. If you want to go Julio Jones here as well, I can't blame you. He had 4/87 in the Super Bowl last year and New England is allowing the 6th most fantasy points to WR this season.
Other than those five, there are a variety of options to round out your lineups. Todd Gurley is a dual threat but Arizona is pretty tough against RBs. LeSean McCoy is coming off a bye and gets a Tampa defense that got beat pretty bad by Adrian Peterson last week. Mark Ingram benefitted a week agao with no more Peterson. Green Bay is a beatable matchup. Finally, Devonta Freeman gets the Patriots, who allow the most receiving yards to running backs in the past 8 games. For receivers, I don't mind looking at Michael Thomas against a bad Packers secondary. I want nothing to do with T.Y. Hilton against the second toughest pass defense in Jacksonville. Rob Gronkowski looks good against Atlanta, especially coming off a 2-TD game.
Finally, I think there are three great quarterback options this week. No one is allowing more points to QB than NE, so Matt Ryan looks to be in a good spot to break out of his slump (remember Cam Newton earlier this year in this matchup). Tom Brady is always a safe pick. Granted, it was in a comeback, but Brady had over 450 yards passing in the Super Bowl matchup. Though Drew Brees is on the road, he has put up decent numbers against Green Bay in the past at Lambeau. This game should have a lot of points, and New Orleans isn't going to score multiple defensive TDs like last week.
6 and 10 Person Games
Quarterbacks: Though he's the #1 QB on DRAFT, Dak Prescott falls here because I see this more of an Elliott game. SF does give up over 26 points to quarterbacks, so Prescott is fine. Marcus Mariota should be healthier for a dream matchup against Cleveland, who have allowed 14 touchdowns passing the past 8 games. Carson Wentz threw for over 300 yards in the first matchup this year against Washington, and no Josh Norman will help. Kirk Cousins has 8 total touchdowns the past three games, and appears to be rounding into form. Russell Wilson faces the Giants, who give up the third most amount of points to fantasy QBs the past 8 games.
Running Backs: Leonard Fournette is dealing with an ankle injury, so I'm a bit concerned on that. If he plays, you can play him against the Colts. Melvin Gordon has been improving, but Denver is toughest team against RB past 8 weeks. Jordan Howard is getting a lot of touches, and while matchup against Carolina is tough, did produce in similar spot last week vs Baltimore. If you can get over the 11 carry, 18 yard performance a few weeks ago, Jay Ajayi is at home and in a good spot against a Jets team, who allows the fifth most points to running backs. Though I would lower expectations after last week, Adrian Peterson is in a decent spot against the 2nd most generous team to running backs: the Rams. If DeMarco Murray is out (no practice Wednesday or Thursday), Derrick Henry should get a lot of run against Cleveland.
Wide Receivers: Mike Evans would only be in play if Jameis Winston plays. If Winston is out, Evans can be used as a WR2, but lower expectations. San Francisco is 4th in fantasy points allowed to receivers, so Dez Bryant is viable if Dallas starts throwing in this game. Though Aaron Rodgers is out, I think Jordy Nelson still can be played against the Saints. In deeper leagues, Davante Adams did see 10 targets from Hundley last week, and is not a bad option late in drafts. Zach Ertz had 8/93 in the season opener vs Washington. Also, no Josh Norman should open up production for Alshon Jeffery. Brandin Cooks and Chris Hogan (if he plays) should also be busy in the potential shootout in Foxborough.
There are multiple ways to go after Bell/Elliott at the top. Don't be afraid to mix in some of the top WR and take a chance at a mid-tier RB2 in deeper draft formats. Make sure to give a like over on the Fantasy National Pregame Show page on Facebook, and see Lou and Michael break down the Week 7 slate. Finally, remember that Fantistics has listener league contests going on all the way up until Sunday. To see these contest, follow FantisticsRadio and you will see the $3, 10-man games appear in the lobby. I will jump in a couple of them throughout the week (skeeter1114). Good luck with all of your week four NFL contests.