I usually do this for golf, but this will be the first time I've done it for football. A couple of things have changed with my thinking since I wrote this article.
1. I have moved Leonard Fournette ahead of Todd Gurley in my rankings. Houston is a good run defense that should slow Gurley down a little bit and Fournette has put up 20+ fantasy points in each of his last three games. He's also the main cog of the Jacksonville offense and should be plenty rested. Todd Gurley remains #3 in my rankings.
2. I am now off of Marvin Jones. I failed to realize that Jason McCourty is coming back for Cleveland, and will shadow Jones. McCourty is the #2 ranked CB according to Pro Football Focus. He limited A.J. Green and DeAndre Hopkins to two catches each in matchups earlier this season. Jones is ok in 6 or 10 person drafts, but should be avoided in H2H or 3-person drafts.
Week 10 gives us four more teams on bye, an RB1 out for six weeks, and some players out due to playing on Thursday night. But, it's an intriguing slate with some names, especially at QB and WR, popping up that maybe haven't been used much on DRAFT this year. And in a rare case this year, I think there is quite a bit of depth at running back.
H2H or 3-Person Contests
Quarterbacks: The options are plentiful, even in this range. Matt Ryan is listed as the top choice against Dallas. He's been solid, but I'm not sure you have to go this route in H2H. Probably a better pick in 3 or 6 person games. Matthew Stafford is going to be the most popular pick due to a lack of running game in Detroit and a matchup against the Browns, who allow over 2 TDs a game. I'm also not sleeping on Tom Brady, even against Denver. We saw the Eagles torch the Broncos for 4 touchdowns last week, and Brady off of a bye week should be dangerous. Finally, Dak Prescott is in the highest projected scoring game for the second week in a row and with no Elliott, could be busy in the pass game. I'm fine with any of these four. But, I would rank them Brady, Stafford, Prescott, Ryan.
Running Backs: As usual, this is the position that will go first. Le'Veon Bell is in a great spot against the Colts, who are struggling against the run. Last year in this matchup, Bell went for 120 yards and a TD. With no Elliott, I think Todd Gurley is a good 2nd pick. Though Houston is tough against the run, we have seen Gurley produce against other tough run defenses, such as Arizona. His usage in the passing game only increases Gurley's value. After this, everyone is in the same tier for me. Green Bay continues to get gashed by the run, and the Bears don't have many offensive weapons outside of Jordan Howard. Howard should be quite busy. Leonard Fournette and Melvin Gordon square off against each other, and should be busy as their run defenses both give up over 100 yards a game on the ground. LeSean McCoy gets a Saints team that continues to be a bit vulnerable against the run. While I do like the top of the running back board, I don't think you have to draft them both in Rounds 1 and 2. There is enough depth that you can fill in the other positions and finish at RB if you want.
Wide Receivers: One of the reasons I am willing to wait on my RB2 this week is due to the fact there aren't many WR options. Antonio Brown is the lone exception and could be taken 1st or 2nd if you wanted. In 4 career games against the Colts, he's never had less than 75 yards. In the last three games, he's had a total of 7 touchdowns, including three last year in same matchup. Denver has struggled against tight ends this year, so Rob Gronkowski should have a nice day against them. If Julio Jones is able to play, he is starting to see double digit targets, and I don't think Dallas will be able to slow him down. Tennessee gives up quite a few touchdowns to WR, so A.J. Green should bounce back after a short outing in Jacksonville last week. DeAndre Hopkins did score last week and Houston may be throwing a lot to keep up with the high scoring Rams. Finally, Golden Tate is listed as a Top 5 play on DRAFT. He's fine, I have no problem using him. However, if I'm targeting a Lions receiver, it's Marvin Jones. Jones has double-digit targets in three straight games with at least 96 yards in those games. I don't mind reaching for him in these games.
6 and 10 Person Games
Quarterbacks: Tyrod Taylor gets a high ranking, as he has put up 16+ points the past three weeks. Jared Goff continues to produce every week and gets a Houston defense that just allowed 308 yards and two touchdowns to Brissett last week. The Rams are the highest scoring team in the league so feel free to use him. Ryan Fitzpatrick gets a high rating, but I don't like him with no Mike Evans. Instead, I'll go across the field to Josh McCown who is averaging 20 fantasy points a week in his last three, and gets a Tampa team that gives up over 275 passing yards a game.
Other quarterbacks you can use: Drew Brees, Cam Newton, and Ben Roethlisberger
Running Backs: If you are stuck with a late pick in one of these drafts, you still have some quality options at running back. The Saints running backs of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram both are productive and add to the depth of the position. I prefer Kamara slightly more than Ingram due to the Bills being a little more generous in RB receptions. Neither are bad picks though. Jerrick McKinnon is getting around 15 carries and 5-6 receptions a game and is a great low end RB1. Christian McCaffrey will continue to catch a lot of passes. We keep waiting for the Devonta Freeman breakout game, but I may fade him until I see him return to last year's form. While a game with two teams that have a combined one win may not be overly exciting, I think both Carols Hyde and Orleans Darkwa are in good spots against poor run defenses.
Other running backs you can use: Lamar Miller, Bilal Powell (If Forte is out), and Chris Thompson
Wide Receivers: My fade of the week here is Keenan Allen. Jacksonville's pass defense is nasty. Let others take Allen, who I have a hard time seeing getting near 10 points a game. Stefon Diggs may see Josh Norman, so I don't mind going with Adam Thielen, who is seeing double digit targets in his past three games. Dez Bryant has a nice matchup and should see a little more action with no Zeke. Check his injury status though throughout the week. Both Saints WR can be used. Michael Thomas is still due for a breakout game, but is putting up 10-12 points. Ted Ginn is the higher ceiling, lower floor type of play. Digging deeper in the projections, Sterling Shepard did see 9 targets last week, and gets a 49ers defense that gives up over 160 yards a game to receivers.
Other wide receivers you can use: Jarvis Landry/DeVante Parker, Devin Funchess, Evan Engram, Rishard Matthews, DeSean Jackson, any Rams WR you have faith in (Cooper Kupp is my preference)
While the running backs will fly off the board, I think it's the deepest position this week. I'm going to take Bell and Gurley early, and then focus on Antonio Brown and go from there. I don't mind taking QB earlier this week, and waiting on RB due to the depth of the position. Finally, remember that Fantistics has listener league contests going on all the way up until Sunday. To see these contest, follow FantisticsRadio and you will see the $3, 10-man games appear in the lobby. I will jump in a couple of them throughout the week (skeeter1114). Good luck with all of your week four NFL contests.