Happy New Year! It's hard to believe, but the PGA Golf season starts up this weekend with the Tournament of Champions. This season, MyFantasyFix is pleased to once again provide DFS analysis for the entire PGA season, but we're also excited to announce changes to our premium subscription plans. We recognize the golf season is the longest of all of the primary sports, which often makes committing to a season-long package difficult.
As a result, our premium DFS analysis package for the 2018 PGA season consists of one monthly subscription plan for $9.99 per month, allowing you to pay for only the months you play. Similar to last season, our premium package includes access to our weekly written analysis, site-specific value plays, and our exclusive tournament history table. Even better, we're providing all of our premium content for free during the month of January. Simply sign up for the free trial at this link. No gimmicks, no strings attached. If you're not ready to go premium after giving it a try, simply cancel before February 1st.
Below is a quick preview of our Tournament of Champions written analysis, as well as screenshots of our other tools:
Course History Table:
Site-Specific Value Play Identifier:
Written Analysis Sample:
This is an odd tournament since there are only 34 golfers to choose from. What this means is it's a good time to leave salary on the table to make yourself different from the field. It isn't as big of a concern in single-entry or 3-max tournament; but, if playing some of the 20 to 150 max tournaments, leaving salary is a must to differentiate your lineup. As you read, you may notice that I'm only looking at two stats this week; Birdies or Better and SG: Ball Striking. Looking back at past years, being able to drive the ball far, while hitting fairways and lots of greens in regulation were important. Ball Striking takes that into account. Past winning scores are usually around -20 to -23, so that's why scorers are weighted more favorably in the analysis.
Since most golfers have various time frames since they last played (some last played in December; others in October, and some back in September), our history baseline is set at the last 50 rounds. However, if trends are identified over the past 8, 12, and 24, those golfers are considered, as well. Course history isn't as big of a weighting this week, since only about half the field has played here previously, while even fewer more played than once. Additionally, most of the best course history guys are the ones at the top of the pricing this week. Since there are only 34 golfers, our write-ups will only consist of six, while on a normal week, we would typically included substantially more. A bonus 7th will be mentioned on the National Fantasy Pregame Show Video that will be up before the start of the tournament. Onto the picks!
Justin Thomas (12,200)
I was between Thomas and Spieth for this write up, but decided to go with Thomas, since he is the best value on FanDuel. (Spieth will be my bonus golfer I talk about on the National Fantasy Pregame Show). Thomas is the highest priced golfer on the other sites but is third highest on FanDuel. He had a dream 2017, sweeping the Hawaii tournaments, winning a major, and winning the FedEx Cup. He even won in the Fall Swing for fun. In the three Fall Swing events, Thomas averaged over 19 birdies a tournament, and had four eagles in those three events. He ranks third in Birdies or Better and ninth in Ball Striking. He was dominant here a year ago and should be popular again. But, it's hard to imagine seeing Thomas not do well, considering how hot he was in 2017. (Cash and GPP)
Patrick Cantlay (9,300)
All things considered, Cantlay had a great 2017. He never missed a cut (worst finish was 48th), had 5 Top 10s, including a Win in his last event; The Shriners. Cantlay is a ball striker, ranking 4th in that category and is 14th in Birdies or Better. He is 10th in my model but if I start narrowing it down to fewer and fewer rounds, his ranking improves and becomes #1 over the last 4 and 8 rounds. His form to end 2017 was great, and we saw what that meant for Justin Thomas in 2017, as he was in great form to end 2016. Cantlay is always a popular DFS play, but as the 14th highest priced golfer on FanDuel, he's a phenomenal value and play. (Cash and GPP)
Austin Cook (7,900)
Every year, there is someone who graduates from the web.com Tour and wins in the Fall Swing on the PGA Tour. Cook was one of them, as he won the RSM Classic to grab the last spot in the Tournament of Champions. The RSM was the only win for him in 2017, as he didn't win on the web.com, but had 8 Top 10s. He made all 4 cuts in the Fall Swing, including two other Top 25s outside of his win. Cook ranks 12th in Birdies or Better, and 20th in Ball Striking. As one of the cheap plays on FanDuel and DraftKings, Cook is a nice value option who has Top 10 potential if he can continue his good play from the Fall Swing. (GPP, Cash Game Playable)