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No Tournament History- 1st time held at Detroit Golf Club
Favorite Plays by Tier
2019 Quicken Loans
Detroit Golf Club: Detroit, MI Par 72, 7,340 Yards
Roster Lock: 6:45 am EST (5:45 CST, 4:45 MST, 3:45 PST)
A theme you will see over the next three weeks is that the areas where the tournaments are being held, have received a lot more rain than usual in the spring. However, there should be minimal rain, if any, during the first two days of the tournament. The winds may approach 15 mph gusts on Friday afternoon, but even then, normal winds are 10 mph or less. I see no tee time advantage.
I only point out the softer conditions because this may lead to lower scoring, with the players being able to hold greens more easily than usual. Just something for you to consider.
It's a clear Top 2 on top of the ownership rankings: Dustin Johnson, and Hideki Matsuyama. FanShare Sports is suggesting both could approach 30%, while Fantasy National sees 20%+. This still means that almost half of the lineups in play will have one of these two golfers. So, if you are planning on using one in a tournament, make sure you have a lower owned play somewhere else. Or, you can do what I mentioned on the podcast on Monday night: Play both in a lineup. Granted, you are left with something just under 7,000 a player, but if you like some values in that range, it may not be a popular owned combination.
Besides Hideki and DJ, here are some general names that are appearing as highly owned, in no particular order (Note: Any 6k player is being mentioned because they are projected near or above 10%, which is very high for that price range): Kevin Streelman, Sepp Straka, Ryan Moore, Joaquin Niemann, Hank Lebioda, Ryan Moore, Sam Ryder, Billy Horschel, Rory Sabbatini, and Jason Dufner.
I completely get the Ryan Moore play: my issue is that for an extra $700, I can get Matsuyama, who is a much better golfer. So this also leads me to believe you could see a lot of people start with Matsuyama and Moore, and build from there. I would also be careful about playing Streelman with DJ or Hideki, as I can see that being a very popular combination this week.
- I mentioned that DJ and Hideki in the same lineup may be a bit contrarian. So would any 2 players 10k or above. Gary Woodland and Rickie Fowler should be around 12-15% owned, but provide a unique starting point. Pairing one of them with Hideki or DJ will certainly be odd.
- One of the things DraftKings has done this year, which I appreciate, is add players who get entered into the field after pricing comes out. This could be due to a withdrawal, or the Monday Qualifiers. These golfers also tend to be very low owned, as they are not the premier golfers (if they were, they wouldn't have to Monday Qualify or be an alternate).
- I bring this up because I am very interest in Talor Gooch (6,800) who was a late add. He has shown Top 5 upside this year already (Desert Classic and Farmers), and has a little bit of Corey Conners and Si Woo Kim in him: he's either going to miss the cut, or probably finish Top 25. Gooch has gained 4+ strokes in Approach in three of his last five starts and in the last 24 rounds, is 2nd in approach and 3rd in DraftKings Points. In a week where there are so many popular plays in the 6k range, taking a tournament flyer on someone with just as much upside as a Straka, Lebioda, or Ryder at probably 1-2% ownership makes a lot of sense. This is especially useful if you are using 2-4 other highly owned players (say a DJ-Streelman-Dufner start). Again, Gooch is not consistent and could easily miss the cut: but, I like the upside/low ownership combination.
The last reminder is one James and I brought up on the podcast: Don't go crazy with your bankroll this week, with a weaker field and new course, we just simply don't know how it's going to play. Good luck this week in all of your contests!
A lot of changes are coming for us in the next month of DFS Golf. Including this tournament, three of the next four tournaments are held at courses for the first time. The previous versions of this tournament were held in the Washington D.C. area, and are now being held in Detroit. There are some big names in the field, but we typically don't get a lot of depth in these fields between the U.S. Open and Open Championship. This means there will be players are priced higher than we are used to. As far as this course, it is not real long by tour standards. When I start considering who I like, I think form will be my strongest consideration, along with the stats. But, I will probably cut back my exposure simply because we don't know how this will play out.
Make sure to listen to James and I with the podcast, as we will have a better idea on pricing and stats at that time, to see who is rating well this week.