Week 1 and Thursday Night Week 2 Showdown Stats
As you can see so far, we haven't had many high scoring shootouts. We've even seen the captain come from the losing team three times so far. I don't think this is too surprising considering offenses tend to take a week or two to get into a full swing.
The Week 2 primetime showdown slates are rematches of primetime games a year ago, with the location changing from last year. The Sunday Night matchup should see a lot of points, though the last two meetings between the teams hasn't produced a lot of scoring. The Monday Night matchup has lost some luster, as the Jets have been decimated with injuries. Since we saw these matchups a year ago in the primetime slates, I do have the results from those games and will post them with each matchup as I get to them. As of Saturday afternoon, DraftKings has only the PHI-ATL game posted. I will have the CLE-NYJ Monday Night matchup posted by Sunday night.
Sunday Night: Philadelphia vs Atlanta
2018 results from week one game in Philadelphia
- Julio Jones has seen double-digit targets and at least nine catches for 100+ yards in the past four games vs the Eagles. However, Julio has not seen the end zone in the past three games in this matchup.
- Zach Ertz meanwhile hasn't found the same success as Julio in this matchup. In the past two games, he has had 5 catches for 48 yards and 3 catches for 32 yards.
- A lot is made about pass catching RBs vs Atlanta. But, they have done well against Philadelphia. In the playoff game two season ago, Sproles only had four catches for 22 yards. In the season opener, Ajayi had three catches for 44 yards, and Corey Clement had five catches for 31 yards.
- When searching for value, we want players with opportunties, and hope that they get enough production or a TD. Atlanta was average in DVOA vs the TE in 2018, and Dallas Goedert did play over 50% of the snaps last week. At 800, he may be one of the higher upside plays we will see this season at a price below 1k.
- Ito Smith was in a timeshare with Devonta Freeman in Week One, with each seeing 39 snaps. Freeman is 7,000, while Smith is 2,400. The Eagles were a bottom 10 defense vs pass-catching RBs a year ago. I think I prefer Smith here at the significant discount, though I don't really love the matchup for either RB. However, if Smith is going to see close to 50% of the snaps again, that's hard to pass up at 2,400, as I would think this will be a better week than last week against the Vikings.
Eagles I'm considering: Alshon Jeffery, Darren Sproles, Carson Wentz, Dallas Goedert, Miles Sanders
Falcons I'm considering: Julio Jones, Matt Ryan, Ito Smith, Calvin Ridley
Monday Night: Cleveland vs NY Jets
2018 results from week three game in Cleveland. NOTE: Baker Mayfield did not start this game, but came in when Tyrod Taylor was injured.
- In Week One, both teams allowed similar amounts of yardage. Cleveland allowed 216 yards though the air; The Jets allowed 242. Cleveland allowed 123 yards on the ground, to the Jets 128 yards.
- Looking at 2018 DVOA vs Postition, the Browns were above average against every receiver type except pass catching RBs, where they were 17th. The Jets on the other hand, struggled against WR1, Other WRs, and TEs.
- I think DraftKings did a good job of pricing Trevor Siemian at 8,200. That is very cheap for a starting QB, but I don't think I have much interest in him though, as he has 30 TD and 24 INT in 26 career games.
- Dontrell Hilliard is out for the Browns. This should mean we see a lot of Nick Chubb, but if you want to take a flyer on his backup, it's D'Ernest Johnson at 200. This seems like a very thin play for me, but I suspect he will garner some attention, especially if people are trying to put Baker, Odell, Chubb, and Landry into a lineup.
- I think the 5 Browns and 1 Jets lineup will be popular, considering all of the injuries surrounding the Jets. If you are going this route, either find a high variance Browns player to be in your lineup (Ratley or Johnson), or leave at least 1,000 of salary on the table.
- There aren't many Jets I like in this game, but could see myself using some Ty Montgomery (1,600). With Le'Veon Bell battling injury, I can see Montgomery getting more than his two carries from a week ago. The other cheap Jet I could use is Ryan Griffin (800) as we saw Delanie Walker have a big week against Cleveland last week.
Browns I will Consider Using: Chubb, Mayfield, Beckham, Landry, Njoku, Browns Defense, Seibert
Jets I will Consider Using: Anderson (Injury and Tre'Davious White caused low production from him last week), Montgomery, Griffin, Crowder (may be over owned after huge target game last week, but probably best floor from any Jets player), Ficken