Week 14 Primetime Showdown and Week 15 Thursday Night Winning Lineups in links below
A couple of notes about this article. The Monday Night write-up will probably be a little shorter than usual this week. Also, there will not be an article for Week 17, as I will not be around to write it that weekend. I am planning on doing this for the Playoffs.
Monday Night: Indianapolis @ New Orleans
- I may try to update this on Monday, but no promises. This is just my quick thoughts after looking at pricing for the first time.
- I am prioritizing Michael Thomas over Alvin Kamara. You can fit 2 of Drew Brees, Kamara, and Thomas in, but would have to punt a position player or two to squeeze all three of them in. Indy has been a little more generous to #1 WRs than pass catching RBs. Outside of those three, I don't know if there is anyone else I have to fit in. Taking a chance on TreQuan Smith or Ted Ginn makes sense, especially if playing Brees at Captain or trying to round out a roster. Will Lutz can be used for volume alone, and sitting at 2,000, Taysom Hill always makes for a risky, upside type of pick.
- For the Colts, a lot of decisions will come down to whether T.Y. Hilton plays. If he does, I probably won't use him as I do worry that Marshon Lattimore would be on him. If he plays, I like Marcus Johnson at 5,200 better than Zach Pascal at 8,000. Jack Doyle is ok at 6,600, but seems to be a little pricier than I want. Perhaps my favorite value for the Colts is Nyheim Hines at 3,800. He's the pass catching RB, and the Saints are league average in defending this position. If I think the Colts are having to play catch up, this would fit Hines' skill set more than Marlon Mack. Recently signed Dontrelle Inman at 1,800 is a risky punt play, but he does know the offense and would be playable if Hilton misses.
Colts Players I am Considering: Johnson, Hines, Hilton, Inman (only if Hilton is Inactive), Doyle
Saints Players I am Considering: Thomas, Brees, Kamara, Smith/Ginn, Lutz, T. Hill
Sunday Night: Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
- I'm going to write this up a little differently than usual. It's because we have the #3 DVOA defense in Pittsburgh vs the #5 DVOA defense in Buffalo. Scoring will be at a premium I think in this game, so the Bills Defense (5,000) and the Steelers Defense (4,600) are both in play.
- The best spot to attack either team in this game is the Pittsburgh run game against Buffalo. James Conner (10,600) is expected back, but there are some concerns about how much he will play and if he could be limited. He last played a month ago, and had missed some games prior to that. If we find out he won't be limited, I think he's definitely someone you would want to play. If he is limited, Benny Snell (2,600) or Jaylen Samuels (1,200) would be playable. Pittsburgh does give up some production to pass catching RBs, so Devin Singletary (9,400) does have value, though it's a high priced to go against the 4th ranked run defense.
- My "favorite" pay up option will be Josh Allen (11,200), as he provides a nice floor with his rushing ability. He's definitely the QB I trust more and if I'm projecting a low-scoring game, give me the better QB with a good floor and decent upside. I'm torn on whether I want to play Delvin Hodges (8,200) as he hasn't thrown the ball more than 21 times in the past four games, and hasn't put up more than 13.5 points. I don't mind the play as a last player into my lineup, but I'm not forcing him due to a lack of upside.
- It's never a good thing when you look at the PFF WR/CB matchup, and see every receiver with a disadvantage. If I'm playing a Steelers WR, it would be James Washington (7,000) as he won't see TreDavious White, who will likely be on Diontae Johnson (6,400). Nick Vannett (1,800) will start in place of Vance McDonald, and Buffalo is "just average" against the TE position. For Buffalo, I think I would go with Cole Beasley (9,800) as he has only two games below 9 fantasy points this season. He also will avoid Joe Haden, who will be on John Brown (9,600). Brown hasn't been doing much in the past few weeks but is the upside deep threat that may be needed here.
- Both Kickers are in play here as a two or three field goals would go a long way in a low scoring game. I slightly prefer Stephen Hauschka (4,000) over Chris Bowell (4,200) as Hauschka has four straight games of mulitple field goals.
Bills Players I will Consider: Allen, Bills Defense, Beasley, Singletary, Brown, Hauschka
Steelers Players I will Consider: Conner/Snell, Steelers Defense, Hodges, Vannett, Boswell