Favorite Plays by Tier
Waste Management Open: TPC Scottsdale; Scottsdale, AZ
Course Ranks (#1 is Most Difficult)
- 2019: 24/49, Played 0.489 Strokes UNDER Par
- 2018: 32/51, Played 0.676 Strokes UNDER Par
- 2017: 33/50, Played 0.808 Strokes UNDER Par
- 2016: 20/50, Played 0.030 Strokes OVER Par
65-70 degrees, winds topping out at 10 mph, no rain. Same both days, so it doesn't look like weather will play a factor into lineup decision making this week.
This might be a rare week where ownership doesn't matter a ton. There are a few names popping out as guys who may exceed 20 percent (Thomas, Matsuyama, Im), but after that, it feels like any of the following could be in the 15-20% range, with maybe one or two being the outlier to be higher or lower than that range. Here are the following golfers trending to be in that 15-20% tier, in no particular order: Viktor Hovland, Russell Knox, Webb Simpson, Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, Byeong Hun-An, Corey Conners, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa
There were five golfers added after Monday Qualifying. Zach Sucher is probably the biggest name, and is a player I will be using after a solid 36th at The Farmers last week. Xinjun Zhang was added when Steve Stricker withdrew on Monday. Sean O'Hair withdrew on Wednesday.
- I am playing 3 lineups this week. I started every lineup with two of the following three golfers: Rahm, Matsuyama, and Simpson. From there, I mixed in golfers from 6300 to 8000. The more I looked into the 6k range, the more I got onto Harry Higgs, who James did mention on the podcast. I am not using Nick Taylor, as I found myself liking Sucher at 6300 more, and Brian Stuard at 6600 due to his decent course history here.
- For what it's worth, James did place a win and Top 6 bet on Charley Hoffman this week. This isn't a surprise to many of you who listen to the podcast each week, but root for Charley if he's in contention on Sunday.
- I mentioned in the ownership section that I feel like there will be someone who ends up over 20% among the ones in that second grouping. I think it's Byeong Hun-An. He has really good tournament history here, and there has been talk about how underpriced he is. I think the reason you see low ownership on him right now is because people are assuming he would be 20% chalk. Now that he's coming in more of the 17-18% range, don't be surprised if you roster him and he is over 20%.
Make sure to read my Showdown article for the big football game on Sunday; last one of the season. I will probably update that over the weekend with additional thoughts. Until then, good luck with your golf lineups this week!